The part of this piece where I make predictions for the future was written last weekend. I think my forecast looks pretty good relative to the public conversation at that time. I have no special knowledge of the events in Ukraine, but from superficially reading the commentary, I have been struck by the unacknowledged diversity of goals the West has right now. I think there are four separate objectives each indicating different response: deny the legitimacy of a Russian sphere of influence, preventing a war, maintaining the taboo of European countries using force against each other, and improving the West’s relative balance of power.
What Should the West Want in Ukraine?
What Should the West Want in Ukraine?
What Should the West Want in Ukraine?
The part of this piece where I make predictions for the future was written last weekend. I think my forecast looks pretty good relative to the public conversation at that time. I have no special knowledge of the events in Ukraine, but from superficially reading the commentary, I have been struck by the unacknowledged diversity of goals the West has right now. I think there are four separate objectives each indicating different response: deny the legitimacy of a Russian sphere of influence, preventing a war, maintaining the taboo of European countries using force against each other, and improving the West’s relative balance of power.